GE2015 Results

yenwei yow

12 Sep 15, 03:11

SINGAPORE GENERAL ELECTION 2015 OFFICIAL RESULTS (LOCAL VOTES)

Constituency: Aljunied

PAP: 67 317

Opp: WP- 69 929

Total valid votes: 137 246

Rejected votes: 1638

Outcome: WP wins Aljunied

Total seat tally: PAP- (79), Oppositions- (6)

yenwei yow

12 Sep 15, 03:39

Final tally: PAP-83, WP-6

PAP overall vote share: 69.9% (Up from 2011's 60.1%)

yenwei yow

12 Sep 15, 03:44

Will be sleeping now. Will make all my error amendments tomorrow.

ah huat huat

12 Sep 15, 05:37

shittt

FireIce

12 Sep 15, 08:27

spooky results..........

who are all these people?!?!!?!

Neutral-Thinker

12 Sep 15, 09:13

The new citizens gave PAP slightly more than 3% boost. From http://www.straitstimes.com/singapore/goal-15000-25000-new-citizens-a-year , there would be an average of 20,000 per year. So from 2011 to 2015. we have 80,000 new citizens. There were 2,257,016 that voted this year. So 80,000/2,257016 is 3.54%. Assuming most of the new citizens voted PAP, so they gave PAP a boost of 3%.

They also may have caused Miss Lee Li Lian to be elminated since she lost by less than 2%. She served as an MP for 2.5 years which means an average of 2.5/4*3.54%=2.21% max possible boost for PAP assuming all new citizens were evenly distributed in Singapore.

Neutral-Thinker

12 Sep 15, 09:57

But don't know why PAP got real 10% improvement from 60% to 66%.

My predictions for the hot spots were mostly off by quite a lot although I was totally correct for the more obvious ones.

However as expected, independent candidate Han Hui Hui lost her deposit being off by 2.5%.

The other independent Samir Salim Neji who wanted to be "the voice for new citizens" managed only 150 votes.

Neutral-Thinker

12 Sep 15, 10:26

Originally posted by yenwei yow:

SINGAPORE GENERAL ELECTION 2015 OFFICIAL RESULTS (LOCAL VOTES)

Constituency: Aljunied

PAP: 67 317

Opp: WP- 69 929

Total valid votes: 137 246

Rejected votes: 1638

Outcome: WP wins Aljunied

Total seat tally: PAP- (79), Oppositions- (6)

Wah, so close ah.... almost lost.....

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Maybe the guy who won more than 1 million dollars after buying his Toto ticket from Bedok Reservoir Rd on Thurday would donate some money to meet the $1.5 million sum that WP is hoping to raise for it's new HQ.

minx

12 Sep 15, 11:05

Just as i predicted, no surprise.

Now if anyone voted them complain to me about costs of living very high, too crowded with influx of foreigners, jobs and blah blah blah, I will tell them to see the PAP MPs they voted in.

Ee Hoe Hean Club

12 Sep 15, 12:34

The results of this elections makes no sense.

minx

12 Sep 15, 13:16

Urm ... if u think about it, it makes sense.

Lhl promised amk residents upgrading as a carrot. Previous election, residents in my constituency voted for upgrading carrot. Increase in number of new citizens. A lot of them accept and approve threats and rubbish talk by lhl n team. Many very feaRful opps become new govt. Typical of not all but many sinkies vote hypocritically. Old people voted because of pioneer package. EFfect of SG50 still present. Voted because of remembrance of lky. Daft sinkies fall into trap of pap especially by lhl. Many sinkies voted out of selfishness.

Well, results is just as i predicted. Am very sad, near to tears. Saw WP members on van/ lorry passed by to thank voters, . i waved to them. For WP, i expected them to win at keast 2 or 3 more GRC/SMC, disappointed.

minx

12 Sep 15, 13:19

A very sad day for those who want change.

Neutral-Thinker

12 Sep 15, 13:59

Originally posted by Ee Hoe Hean Club:

The results of this elections makes no sense.

Some parts of the results make sense but most of them need to be further analyzed:

1) PAP rebounded back to their 2006 level which was 66.6% after adjusting for 3.54% in new citizens and deducting it from 69.9% in 2015. Possibly one of the reasons is due to stabalizing of housing prices which saw only up to 5% increase in the 4-year stretch as opposed to the huge increase from 2006 to 2011. So naturally more younger people voted for PAP.

2) Png Eng Huats result of 57.69% isn't too far away from the 62.08% result he got in 2012 after you factor in the 3.54% adjustment losing just additional 0.85% of the votes.

3) Aljunied GRC's result of 50.95% isn't too far away from the 54.72% 2011 results after factoring in the 3.54% adjustments losing just additional 0.23% of the votes.

4) SPP lost substantial amount of votes probably because they did not have Mandarin broadcasts and thus failed to win the votes from Chinese speaking families.

5) NSP lost substantial amount of votes because they were hit by a series of resignations by its good members including Goh Meng Seng, Tony Tan, Hazel Poa, Jeneatte, Nicole Seah and Tan Lam Siong as well as the scandal of President Sebastian Teo. Currently there is only Lim Tean is of equivalent appeal.

6) Goh Meng Seng led PPP performed badly because they did not have enough star politicians there and they did not qualify for political broadcasts.

7) SingFirst performed badly because it is the first time this new party is contesting in those districts and they are tough districts where people are happy (because of good asset value) or led by very strong minister.

8) SDA performed as about the same as they did in 2011 (30.06%) after you factor in the 3.54% adjustment to the 27.08% result they received. However they slided by around 5% in Pasir-Ris Punggol after you factor in the 3.54%

9) Keneath Jayaratnam led Reform Party's bad result is probably attributed to voters' perception of their objectives as KJ insisted on going against WP in the 2013 by-election where he received only slightly more than 1% of the votes.

10) SDP's real slide in this election is only 36.76-3.54-31.23=1.99%. This is probably due to the resignation of all members of it's 2011 A-team.

11) Similarly, WP is very closed to its previous results this election in Nee Soon, Sengkang West, Fengshan and Jalan Besar after you factor in the 3.54%.

As for WP's bad performance in East Coast and Marine Parade, I really have no idea.

Again these are just my personal opinions. Ignore them if you disagree.

minx

12 Sep 15, 14:45

Still grieving for the bad results. Dunno how to deal with this grief.

So sad for my country and those fellow countrymen who care to want change for a better life here. This is the saddest outcome and election.

Ee Hoe Hean Club

12 Sep 15, 15:57

I psychologically too shocked and stunned to accept elections results. I feel ill.

SMB145B

12 Sep 15, 16:25

i hope someone could challenge the election results.

Î²ÎÏ„Î¬

12 Sep 15, 16:30

Mass Media Propaganda tools very effective.

Guess all those "Merdeka!" and tears really help swing the votes beyond reason.

Î²ÎÏ„Î¬

12 Sep 15, 16:31

All were brainwashed.

Ee Hoe Hean Club

12 Sep 15, 16:50

Punggol East SMC will be gone next elections, Li li lian lost by 2% margin. It will be absorbed into Pasir Ris GRC. This means WP will fight Pasir Ris GRC next elections.

minx

12 Sep 15, 16:52

I m a little depressed.

Can't believe people threw away their future in sg.

After results was out, Goh Meng Seng told media fear marketing is very effective.

I agree with lky sinkies are daft.

Believe the political party which uses the most bu kuang ming shou tuan (unscrupulous ways) will face the consequences when the time comes.

jurongresident

12 Sep 15, 17:08

I have a feeling that after this General Elections, there will be a transfer of leadership from PM Lee, to the next PM.

Personally, I feel that the next PM should come from one of the constituencies where PAP wins the highest percentages of votes.

Why? Because having the highest percentage votes means that he/she/they (the team) best represents PAP.

If go by that logic, this means it's one of the MPs of Jurong GRC, Ang Mo Kio GRC, West Coast GRC, Tanjong Pagar GRC or Chua Chu Kang GRC.

I guess the other factors are 'Qualifications', 'Experiences', and 'Age'.

Nonetheless, I do not think the transition to the new PM will happen soon, because now the economy is already showing signs of not doing well.

When the next economy crisis is over, then would it be a good time to change PM.

For the time being maybe can start to train the potential new PM already. Put him/her in the Cabinet (if not yet in Cabinet). Let him/her gain experience and knowledge. By the time take over, he/her should be able to be our Prime Minister.

Mr Goh Chok Tong was PM for fourteen years. If Mr Lee Hsien Loong is PM for fourteen years, the next PM will take over in year 2018, for fourteen years, until year 2032 - assuming there is a fixed period of fourteen years.

Actually, if that's the case, I can see some kind of a pattern/cycle.

GE 1996/1997 - GE 2001 - (PM Lee takes over in year 2004) - GE 2006 - GE 2011 - GE 2015 - (next PM takes over) - GE 2020

Well, I do not know how to write. Anyway, here we go again~

minx

12 Sep 15, 18:28

Who cares about new pm. Now people have not gotten over the results of GE 2015 yet, now too early, inappropriate talk abt it, who cares, next one also from jingx gang, bu shi sheng mo hao dong xi. No eyes see, mo ngun tai.

00000000000000000000000

Machiam kena slap by pap.

minx

12 Sep 15, 18:40

http://statestimesreview.com/2015/09/12/straits-times-reporter-mock-wp-supporters-people-who-want-change-are-self-serving/

Straits Times reporter mock WP supporters: People who want change are self-serving

admin / 2 hours ago

Senior correspondent with The Straits Times, John Lui, mocked Workers’ Party (WP) supporters in his scathing article covering the aftermath of the election where the WP lost substantial votes. Right on his first statement, John Lui complained that people who want to change the government are usually self-serving people.

Photo of John Lui from The Straits Times

John Lui quoted an interview with a retiree who said his children cannot stand living in Singapore, and John Lui wrote:

“I want to say us, for one, and a few million others.”

He then interviewed another WP supporter, and laughed saying:

“There is bravado in his voice, but his face tells me the opposite.”

John Lui continued to mock the Opposition supporters’ losses saying:

“After their long list of ills plaguing the governance of this nation, they sound horribly pessimistic, as if they would wake up tomorrow to see smoking ruins.”

You may read John Lui’s original article here.

jurongresident

12 Sep 15, 19:19

Please move on.

Election is over. Next election is five year later.

Instead of being not happy, sad, etcetera. , we should look forward.

The economy is already showing signs of not doing well.

Otherwise, why do you think election is this year, not 2016?

It's time to start to prepare, if you have not started.

Look forward.

Save money.

Neutral-Thinker

12 Sep 15, 19:30

Originally posted by Ee Hoe Hean Club:

Punggol East SMC will be gone next elections, Li li lian lost by 2% margin. It will be absorbed into Pasir Ris GRC. This means WP will fight Pasir Ris GRC next elections.

Pasir Ris GRC is SDA territory.... the other political parties cannot tolerate WP's muscling it's way into other people's territory and not showing up for second opposition meeting.

As shown in this election, WP cannot handle too many districts as they skipped political rallies for two districts (Macpherson and Sengkang West) this election. Results also did not turn out to be good registering below 40 percent in East Coast, Marine Parade, Nee Soon and Jalan Besar GRCs.

So WP should just focus on it's existing districts.

If no Pasir Ris GRC, SDA has no district to contest in. This is analagous to "Middle-aged Singaporeans becoming jobless or unable to compete" due to power play.