H7N9 bird flu virus will reached pandemic levels in June?
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My prediction: It will reached pandemic levels in June and then kill 25 million people. Why? I predict one.
BTW, I don't work for the government.
if anybody wants, this is blog
http://teengirlandpolitics.blogspot.sg/2013/04/h7n9-virus-that-will-reach-pandemic.html
I will try to keep up with it til i die. :x choy choy
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A bird flu virus never before found in humans has grabbed world attention this week after it infected and killed people in China. Scientists have been scrambling to understand how it happened and, more importantly, whether it poses a risk to public health or could potentially spark a global pandemic.
The good news is that so far there's no sign that the H7N9 virus is spreading from person to person, but experts say it has mutated in a way that has left them a bit worried. Here's a crash course in Bird Flu 101 to help explain what's known about the strain and why it matters:
Q: What is the H7N9 virus and what do we know about it?
A: The H7N9 strain — named for the combination of proteins on its surface — has infected at least 11 people in China since February, killing four of them. The latest cases were confirmed Thursday, four days after the initial announcement. Symptoms include fever and respiratory problems, including severe pneumonia. Much still remains unknown about the virus, including how people are getting infected, but scientists say it contains genetic markers that could help it infect humans. It is believed to be able to circulate in poultry stocks without sickening birds. This can allow it to spread in flocks unnoticed, making it much harder to track and also possibly creating more contamination since the birds are surviving and spending more time on farms, in markets and elsewhere.
Q: How concerned should the public be about the H7N9 virus?
A: At this point, experts say there is no cause for alarm, but they are watching it closely. No evidence exists that the virus is spreading from person to person, and no cases have been reported outside China. Samples are being collected from patients, and the Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention is sharing genetic sequences with outside scientists. This allows the world's top flu experts to study the virus and look for mutations that could make it more dangerous. Poultry and its products are safe to eat as long as they are properly cooked.
Q: Is there a vaccine?
A: No vaccine exists, but the World Health Organization and its partners are already working to isolate and identify possible candidate viruses that could be used to make a future vaccine if necessary. However, it would likely take months to produce the first doses.
Q: What changes are scientists seeing in the virus and why is this important?
A: Although it is not yet clear, the virus appears to have mutated in a way that would make it easier for it to adapt and grow at normal body temperature in mammals. Scientists are working to figure out which species could now be playing host to the virus, and one possibility is pigs.
Swine are important because they share some basic biological similarities with humans, and they can serve as "mixing vessels" if infected with different flu strains at the same time.
Other possibilities are that the mutations could be occurring in poultry or they are being generated after people are infected by birds.
"To me, the most important question to find out is: What is the actual host of this virus?" said Richard Webby, director of a WHO flu center at St. Jude Children's Research Hospital in Memphis, Tennessee. "It really looks like there's been some mammalian host involved."
Q: How is this bird flu different from the H5N1 strain everyone has been so concerned about in the past?
A: The H5N1 virus is highly lethal in birds, making it easier to identify and eliminate poultry outbreaks. H5N1 remains an avian influenza and has not taken root in another species, such as pigs. Most human infections have been linked to contact with infected birds. Scientists have been closely watching the virus since it first appeared in Hong Kong in 1997. It resurfaced in 2003 and decimated poultry stocks across Asia and has since killed at least 371 people. About 60 percent of those infected die, and experts have long feared the H5N1 virus could mutate into a form that spreads easily from person to person, possibly igniting a pandemic.
http://www.scmp.com/news/hong-kong/article/1207128/bird-flu-101-how-bad-new-h7n9-strain
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Current: 14 infected and 4 dead
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Lets hope that it won't spread to Singapore.
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Number one way to stop it coming to SG is to close the borders, airport and shipyards
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There's a game called Pandemic
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This morning we have a detailed, and quite sobering account of one patient diagnosed with the H7N9 virus who remains in critical condition after being initially hospitalized on March 20th. (my birthday!)This patient, who is #3 on the ECDC case listing, is a 35 year-old man from Chuzhou, in Anhui province who reportedly had exposure to poultry.In it we learn:
- After initially being placed on a ventilator, the patient was then moved to an ECMO(Extracorporeal Membrane Oxygenation) machine, where the burden of pumping and oxygenating the blood is taken from the heart and lungs, to give them time to heal (see The ECMO Option).
- The patient is described as suffering severe lung damage, septic shock, liver damage, and acute renal failure.
- The patient has received - in addition to standard rehydration and nutritional IV support - anti-virals, expectorants, immune enhancement(unspecified), and vasopressors to maintain blood pressure and perfusion.
- The patient is also undergoing hemofiltration (a form of dialysis) used for renal failure.
- This narrative also highlights the isolation techniques in use in this patient’s care.
- The patient remains in critical condition.
Up until a week ago, H7 influenza infections reported in humans have nearly always been characterized as mild, often presenting with little more than conjunctivitis.This new H7N9 virus has now produced 20 known cases, six of which have proved fatal. Many more cases are reportedly in serious or critical condition.A big unknown at this time is whether there are mild, undetected cases, not being captured by current surveillance efforts.
This from Jiangsu Health.Published :2013 -4-7March 20, Chuzhou go to Nanjing, where a 35-year-old man infected with the H7N9 avian flu patients Mr. Han, Zhongda Hospital, Southeast University, is still receiving treatment.Patients admitted to hospital, his condition is very critical. Big hospitals for this purpose, the establishment of the treatment group, known in our intensive medical experts, under the leadership of Critical Care Medicine Branch of the Chinese Medical Association, chairman of the Hospital of Zhongshan University Professor Qiu Haibo, director of Critical Care Medicine, and actively carry out rescue work.Early in the given conventional treatment of invasive mechanical ventilation, lung recruitment is still difficult to maintain oxygen saturation case, the treatment group adopts the international advanced technology of extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (referred to ECMO respiratory replacement therapy, commonly known as artificial lung) the patient's oxygen saturation and oxygen supply is maintained, and the rest of the damage lung and protection.Actively given anti-viral, expectorant, immune enhancement, support and maintenance treatment of nutritional support and other organ function.However, in patients with pulmonary infection due to go to Nanjing and extremely serious injury, and has appeared septic shock and liver injury, given rehydration supplement effective circulating blood volume and use of vasoactive drugs to maintain blood pressure and tissue perfusion in patients with lung injury and the shock does not get better, and the emergence of acute renal failure.To patients with severe infection has led to multiple organ damage Zhongshan University hospital for treatment group to patients HEMOFILTRATION for the first time. The course of the disease, severe lung injury, and merge the high cardiac output, the treatment group also uses high-frequency oscillatory ventilation and prone position ventilation in the treatment, which is today one of the most effective treatment of severe acute respiratory distress syndrome.The patients with confirmed human infection of H7N9 avian influenza, the National Health and Family Planning Commission, the Health Department of Jiangsu Province attaches great importance to the Expert Group of the National Health and Family Planning Commission Expert Group, Jiangsu Province came to the hospital several times to guide clinical treatment work.Large hospitals not only for patients disbursements also specially arrange patient in independent isolation ward, multidisciplinary experts work together closely with meticulous care, and medical care. In the past few days, as the core of the health care team to Zhongshan University Hospital Critical Care Medicine bull by the horns, and not afraid of hard work to treat the Anhui patients. Because patients in critical condition who piping, the course of treatment and danger, doctors always monitor changes in condition, to constantly adjust treatment measures; care team in three shifts, 24-hour intensive care.Medical personnel wearing Geli Fu, do not take into account any risk, stood at the patient's bedside, ready to respond to a variety of rescue and care, physical exertion out of the isolation ward, medical staff often drenched in sweat. Prone position ventilation in the treatment of patients with heavier wear Geli Fu into the negative pressure isolation rooms, need 4-6 medical staff to patients stand up to the prone position, 3-4 times a day this stand up to the medical staff take turns Go to the isolation ward for patients prone position ventilation therapy.The hospital strictly do the various protective isolation and infection management in the prevention and control of early contact with 13 medical staff of the patient's medical observation, were not unusual.At present, the patient's condition is still very critical, life is in danger at any time. The treatment group of experts is to rescue the patients. -
Perhaps the H7N9 virus is already here :cry:
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Bump for re-activation of thread
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Perhaps some organization will claimi it's release by them :lol:
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Total cases: 120
Death: 23
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if it reach a pandemic level - its all china's fault!
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well, let's die together then :cry: the illuminati will use this chance to enhance the virus and kill us all :cry:
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no the china people should die, not other people. its tgheir fault. they like to break record, they go break the go die, not us.
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WHY??? WHY????
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becasu ethey never learn.
theya re dirty, greedy, disgustin and filthy pl
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:cry: i dun wan to die :cry:
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Originally posted by Deacon Blue:
no the china people should die, not other people. its tgheir fault. they like to break record, they go break the go die, not us.
You should think before posting sial...China down = Whole world economy might drop. Don't forget that China is one of the few biggest exports, and most of the things come from China...
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Originally posted by SMB66X:
You should think before posting sial...China down = Whole world economy might drop. Don't forget that China is one of the few biggest exports, and most of the things come from China...
we have to larn not to depend on them. you want economic, we start afresh, or a pandemic? -
Originally posted by Deacon Blue:
we have to larn not to depend on them. you want economic, we start afresh, or a pandemic?Can you be fully independent during this period of time then?
1 disease you ask them to die, and by asking them to die, does it even really stop the diseases from spreading? Isn't it killing 2 innocent birds with 1 stone then?(Kill people > disease still there > economy down still)
Rather than solve the case and not killing anyone? You solve the case, economy still stays or just change a little, isn't it better?
Then you would be saying would they solve it. Well, I can say that there's a way to close it, just need time. "There's a will, there's a way"
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larsup .. .they okay to die. they proud they have many people., die a few million also they dont mind.
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http://sg.news.yahoo.com/bird-flu-strain-may-capable-spreading-human-human-113448702.html
New bird flu may be capable of human to human spread - study
By Lavinia Mo
HONG KONG (Reuters) - The new H7N9 bird flu virus can be transmitted between mammals not only via direct contact but also in airborne droplets, and may be capable of spreading from person to person, Chinese and American researchers have found.
A study published in the journal Science and presented at a briefing in Hong Kong on Friday found that three ferrets - an animal often used for research on flu - that were in the same cage as ferrets infected with H7N9 had contracted the disease.
One of three ferrets kept in separate cages nearby also became infected, through airborne exposure.
The World Health Organization (WHO) has previously said it has no evidence of "sustained human to human transmission" of the virus, which has killed 36 people in China.
"The findings suggest that the possibility of this virus evolving further to form the basis of a future pandemic threat cannot be excluded," said the research team, led by bird flu expert and microbiologist Yi Guan.
The virus can also infect pigs, but could not be transmitted from pig to pig or from pigs to other animals, the study showed, although the team urged authorities to maintain surveillance to check whether the virus was mutating.
The WHO said the findings were useful but warned that people "have to be very careful about what's going on the ground".
"Studies like that are really helpful for increasing general knowledge and it's really helpful to know that, under lab conditions, this thing could transfer from person to person," WHO chief spokesman Gregory Hartl told Reuters.
"We've already seen maybe a few limited instances of human to human transmission within close family range, within close contacts, so this is another piece of the puzzle," he said.
The findings come just days after the WHO said the H7N9 virus appeared to have been brought under control in China thanks to restrictions at bird markets.
H7N9 has relatively mild clinical signs in ferrets, according to the study. All the animals infected with the virus in the experiments presented symptoms for no more than seven days and all recovered from the disease.
The researchers said that all cases where humans had died or become extremely ill had involved additional factors.
The team also found that some infected animals did not develop fever or other clinical signs, suggesting that asymptomatic infections among humans may also be possible.
"The potential public health implication of this ... is that a person infected by H7N9 avian influenza virus who does not show symptoms could nevertheless spread the virus to others," the researchers wrote in their study.
United Nations experts said this week the bird flu outbreak in China had caused some $6.5 billion in losses to the economy.
The H7N9 virus is known to have infected 131 people in mainland China and one in Taiwan since February, but no new cases have been detected since early May.
(Additional reporting by Kate Kelland in London, Sui-Lee Wee in Beijing and Tom Miles in Geneva; Editing by Ron Popeski and Sonya Hepinstall)
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Death in the millions :cry:
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since we can identify the hot season of the birdie flu, better bcareful with ay cheenlandmen you see. chances they conatct with stuff and people o their own kind very high and they can pass from human to human. very disgusting dirty lairs they are.
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so what u suggest? put them in cages and sterilize them? :lol: