--www.dni.gov or www.cfr.orgPresident Bush's Oct. 17(2007) warning that Iran's pursuit of nuclear weapons could "ignite World War III"...[/quote]
or
Bush's Office Director of National Intelligence Nov 2007:[quote]...Key Judgments
A. We judge with high confidence that in fall 2003, Tehran halted its nuclear weapons program1; we also assess with moderate-to-high confidence that Tehran at a minimum is keeping open the option to develop nuclear weapons.
We judge with high confidence that the halt, and TehranÂ’s announcement of its decision to suspend its declared uranium enrichment program and sign an Additional Protocol to its Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty Safeguards Agreement, was directed primarily in response to increasing
international scrutiny and pressure resulting from exposure of IranÂ’s previously
undeclared nuclear work.....
(Arts of speech)
Remote, Very unlikely ,Unlikely ,Even chance, Probably/ likely, Very likely, Almost certainly