Originally posted by TVaddict:
chim sia... for non-arty guys, it's hard to understand...
Well, I am no arty guy too, I did some reading on it when I was wondering how inaccurate the Astros is.
CEP is a is a simple measure of a weapon system's precision.
It is defined as the radius of a circle into which a missile ,bomb, or projectile will land at least half the time(50%).
Usually it is given in percentage of the range (distance from the weapon system to the target) for non-guided ballistics round.
I think my example is not so clear cut, so I will explain again, let's say the arty gun that I have is known to have a CEP(range) of 1% and if I am to fire my weapon to the target at 1000m away, say 100 rounds to the target,
So 1% x range of 1000m = 10m, i.e 1 Probable error(PE)
50 of the 100 rounds(50%) will land within 10m radius with the target as the centre of "circle". (If you refer back to the graph , you see 25% left of centre line and 25% right of the centre, add together you have 50%, that is what the graph is telling you)
So far if you understand what I have written so far, you should no problem to undertsand the rest.
So where are the rest of 50 rounds will land?
Based on the graph , you see two 16%(total 32%) , that is within 1~2 PE= 10~20m, so it mean 32 of the 100 rounds will land from 10~20m radius with the the target as the centre of "circle".
Likewise , you see two 7%(total 14%) , that is within 2~3 PE= 20~30m, so it mean 14 of the 100 rounds will land within 20~30m radius with the the target as the centre of "circle".
And so with the other two 2%( total 4%)..............
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If you still dun undertand ,I have drawn a simple picture above, you see four circles with one point as the centre of four circle above, that cebtre of the circle is the target point .Using the same example of CEP of 1 % and range 1000m:
The white portion there represent 1 Probable error(PE) ( which calculated by CEP mulitpy the range, for example 1% of 1000m=10m) and 50% of the round will land within that white portion.
The green portion there represent 1~2 Probable error(PE) (10~20m) which 32% of the round will land within that green portion.
The red portion there represent 2~3 Probable error(PE) (20~30m) which 32% of the round will land within that red portion.
Lastly ,the yellow portion there represent 3~4 Probable error(PE) (30~40m) which 4% of the round will land within that yellow portion.
Note:In reality, the circle above is more elliptical than a true circle, that is becos range errors is usuallly larger than azimuth errors.